U.S. Open Tennis

[Tesla]

Don't usually post, but love me some major Tennis. It's slowly become one of my favorite sports to watch. And since nobody else seems to be posting tennis plays, I figured I would...

Monday
Djokovic under 31 games 2 units
Nishikori over 43 games 2 unit
Murray over 41 games 5 unit

Women
Pennetta -4 1 unit
Krunic +6 2 unit
Makarova over Bouchard 1.5 unit

 

[varkeyboy]

I know u said u don't post, but have u been betting on Tennis at least? I love this sport myself. Can't wait to go to the US Open next year!!!

Love that Murray over myself. I can easily see that one going 5.

 

[Tesla]

I have been betting on it, but I have no idea how profitable it's been over the years. These are all small bets for me, except the Murray over...that's a normal bet. I won't go over 5 units unless it's football.

 

[Tesla]

5-1 (+3u) Monday but lost the big one, still profitable

Tuesday
Monfils +140 2u / 2.8
Simon +160 2u / 3.2
Berdych over 38 2.3u / 2

 

[varkeyboy]

Nice day!

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

[video]https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/BwacymzIQAEUepf.mp4[/video]


don't know why that went to a link.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Like both dogs as well. Gaels birthday yesterday, he should be ready to play. Simon/Cilic all four of their previous matches have gone to the final set with Simon winning all four. GL

 

[Tesla]

Like both dogs as well. Gaels birthday yesterday, he should be ready to play. Simon/Cilic all four of their previous matches have gone to the final set with Simon winning all four. GL

Good to see you on the dogs, one down and waiting on the Simon Cilic outcome. One dog that I do NOT like today is Thiem. I think Berdych takes care of business easily today in these tough conditions over the 20 year old Thiem.

Berdych -5.5 +110 1u

This is essentially a slight buy back from the over 38 posted earlier. Match could go Berdych -5.5 and under, but will not go Thiem +5.5 and under.

 

[Tesla]

Wozniaki / Errani over 19 -150 5 dimes 1.5u for 1

Don't see this being very lopsided one way or another.

 

[Tesla]

-1.9u on the day...and waaaaayyyyy off on the women. Damn Wozniaki looks good. Her game don't look too bad either. Note to self: bet the hotter broad.
+1.1 overall

 

[Tesla]

One early play for tomorrow, cause I think the line will move.
Wawrinka -178 3u/1.68u
Wawrinka -3 -112 2u/1.78u

Think Nishikori will be physically and mentally exhausted. His comeback win over Raonic (impressive as it may have been) ended at 2:26am et. Now he gets a 3:00pm match 36 hours later in the heat of the day. Wawrinka has not been overly impressive this tournament but he should be fresh. Robredo gave him a decent fight during a hot afternoon match, but Wawrinka's match before that was a walkover, so his recovery should be easier.

Nishikori's serve is anything but exceptional. Raonic did a very poor job of attacking it. I don't think ESPN's announcers talked about it enough. But, Wawrinka's coaches will have noticed it plenty. And I think that's something that will be a point of emphasis. Some of Nishikori's second serves were under 90mph.

Wawrinka on the other side is not as powerful or dominant of a server as Raonic, but he's good enough to neutralize Nishikori's return skills.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Like wawa too. Just dont know why the line isn't -230 at least for him. Only thing I can come up with is that the public is more of a fan of Neishikori than Stan. I love stans game and hoping its novak/ stan like that match a couple years ago

Gl

 

[Tesla]

Like wawa too. Just dont know why the line isn't -230 at least for him. Only thing I can come up with is that the public is more of a fan of Neishikori than Stan. I love stans game and hoping its novak/ stan like that match a couple years ago

Gl

Ya, I was a bit confused myself. I don't think it's a fandom issue, though. I think it comes down to how well Stan has performed to this point in the tournament...he hasn't been overwhelming. But, talent wise, he's moderately better, AND coupled with the details of their respective previous matches, I think that Stan is clearly....CLEARLY the favorite. Presently, the line sits at -197 via 5dimes (reduced). If anyone is awake at this hour I would recommend grabbing it at 1 to 2 units. I do think that it will get up to -220 or -230 as Mob alluded to.

Here's the bottom line........IF Nishikori wins, it's gonna be in 4 sets. He's NOT gonna beat Stan in 3. He COULD take it in a tight (very tight) 5 set match...but like I said, I don't think he will have the physical or mental stamina for this, so the only other option is a tight AND fortunate 4 set victory.

BTW, Stan's victory over Novak (as mentioned by Mobdeeper) seems like an eternity ago, but it was THIS year.......at the Austrailian, immediately before he beat an injured Rafa for the final....Dare I mention that Stan was CLEARLY the better player even before Rafa showed any evidence of injury! Stan is damn good. Can not wait for the Novak, Stan, semi and possibly a Stan, Fed final.

 

[Tesla]

Welp, screw that play. Slept through the match, so don't even know how it all went down.
Moving on...
Berdych / Cilic over 41 2units
Couple guys that hold serve very well. Should be some 12 and 13 game sets. And as long as it goes at least 4 sets, we'll be in good shape.